Decimal and American Odds

To fully understand how SureBets work, you first need to learn the difference between Decimal and American Odds. Both express the probability of an event to happen but they do so in a different number format.

• If the American odds are positive, the decimal odds = (American odds / 100) + 1
• If the American odds are negative, the decimal odds = 1 – (100 / – American odds)

SureBets in Theory

A SureBet is a combination of bets that allow you to win immediately, without having to complete an offer.

The decimal odds of an event should equal 1/event’s probability. If an event has a probability of 50%, the correct decimal odds should be 1/50% = 2.00 (+100 in American odds). Besides that, the sum of the inverted decimal odds of a market, should be equal to 1.

The possible results of flipping a coin are both equal to 50%. The odds should be 2.00 (+100 American) if it lands on heads and 2.00 (+100 American) if it lands on tails. So, the sum of the inverted odds should be equal to: [1/2 + 1/2] = 1.

But in order to generate a profit, bookmakers add a margin to the odds. This margin is calculated as the difference of the sum of the inverted odds of a market and 1. For example: Total goals market over/under 2.5 of the Cincinnati v Dynamo game, the added margin by the bookmaker is equal to [1/1.57  + 1/2.25 ] -1 = 1.0813 -1 = 0.0813 = 8.13%. -175 is 1.57 in decimal odds and +125 is 2.25.

A SureBet exists when the inverted sum of the odds is a value lower than 1.

For example, if we manage to find Over 2.5 in another bookmaker at odds of 1.90, we could win money with a SureBet (in fact: [1/1.90 + 1/2.25] = 0.970). In this case, we could make $10 without risk by betting $180 at odds of 1.90 and $152 at odds of 2.25.

SureBet in Practice

Bookmakers don’t like SureBets and they try to reduce them whenever possible. If you systematically take advantage of these bets, your account will most likely be restricted or deleted.

Some behaviors that increase the chances of getting restricted are the following:

• Taking advantage of SureBets with recently opened accounts or with few bets made.
• Taking advantage of SureBets on games of relatively unknown leagues.
• Taking advantage of SureBets with uncommon amounts (much higher than your average bets or weird amounts – for example, betting $93.45 instead of $100).
• Taking advantage of SureBets with super high ratings; over 120% (these are usually bugs on the bookmaker’s system).

IMPORTANT: Even with all the precautions, by doing SureBets, you will be exposed to the risk of being restricted. Bookmakers can figure this out quickly by looking at your betting pattern, and once you’re restricted there’s nothing else you can do about it. Even so, bookmakers’ algorithms are all different and confidential, therefore, some will restrict more easily than others.

Our suggestion is to do SureBets with an account where you no longer receive offers or with those where you don’t mind being restricted.

Pre-Game VS Live

As with any other type of bet, SureBets can also be pre-game (before a game begins) and LIVE (during the game).

With LIVE SureBets, the chances of getting restricted are lower, but the odds will change faster, so you have less time to place your bets.

EXAMPLE

Thanks to our Dutcher, you can find SureBets easily. Every combination with a rating of over 100% is a SureBet.

(1) Open the Dutcher from the menu >> Tools >> Dutcher.

(2) Take a look and see if there’s a SureBet (a rating higher than 100%).In our case we found Baylor Bears (W) v Kansas Jayhawks (W).

(3) Confirm that the odds are the same with the bookmaker.

(4) Open the calculator, insert the amount you want to bet and place your bets with the Bookmakers.

(5) At the end of the game, you’ll have the profit with the bookmaker where the bet was won.